UFC 206 has been getting slammed quite a bit in the media for not being a great PPV card. Daniel Cormier was forced to pull out of his main event title fight with Anthony Johnson and instead of adding another fight the UFC simply bumped Holloway vs Pettis to an interim title fight in the main event, while bumping Aldo up to featherweight champion and stripping McGregor of his belt. That was a strange occurrence, but overall I don’t think this card should be getting bashed the way it is. Luckily for the Toronto fans, Kelvin Gastelum missed weight at UFC 205, which took his fight with Donald Cerrone off that card. This allowed both of these fighters to be bumped to UFC 206 with different opponents (Cerrone vs Matt Brown and Gastelum vs Tim Kennedy). Those are two amazing fights, while Cub Swanson vs young phenom Doo-Ho Choi is another fight that is sure to be a barn burner. This is a very exciting main card that I will for sure be watching come Saturday.
I’ll be using the best odds from any of our top rated sportsbooks, which you can see below. Be sure to compare odds between any bookies that you use in order to get the best value on your wagers.
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Max Holloway vs Anthony Pettis
I’m all over Holloway in this fight. He’s on a 9 fight winning streak and has basically cleaned out the division while the McGregor, Aldo, Edgar and Mendes feuded above him. He’s now the #2 contender after Frankie Edgar, with Jose Aldo having the belt, and he’s taken out #3 Ricardo Lamas, #4 Cub Swanson, #6 Jeremy Stephens and #7 Charles Oliveira in his last 4 fights. With dominant wins in most of those fights I might add. Anthony Pettis is ranked as the #5 guy in the division right now, so after he takes him out he will basically have nobody to fight if he beats Aldo in a title fight.
Holloway is simply going to be too much for Pettis in this one. Holloway will keep his foot on the gas and not allow Pettis to get off any of his techniques, while keeping the fight standing to avoid Pettis’ submission attempts. Pettis can go long periods without throwing any techniques and that simply won’t work against Holloway. Pettis was on a three fight losing streak at lightweight before dropping down to featherweight and getting a late submission over Charles Oliveira in a fight most agree he was losing to that point. I think the book is out on Pettis these days and Holloway will add him to the list of top featherweights that are not on his level.
Play: Holloway 1.54
Donald Cerrone vs Matt Brown
Cerrone has won 11 of his last 12 fights, but he still doesn’t seem to get the respect he deserves. He’s the most consistent fighter in the UFC and continues to improve every fight, outside of his RDA loss. He should have no trouble with Brown, who is on the decline in his career. Cerrone will have no trouble picking Brown apart on the feet, while also having the ability to take the fight to the ground if he chooses.
Play: Cerrone 1.36
Cub Swanson vs Doo-Ho Choi
The Korean Superboy has everyone very excited after 3 big finishes in his first three fights in the UFC. He’s actually a fairly big favorite in this fight, which was a surprise to me considering he’s up against a very strong veteran in Cub Swanson. Cub is 8-2 in his last 10 fights and he simply does not lose to fighters who are not elite. His 2 losses in that span were against Holloway and Edgar and even looking back further his other UFC loss was against Lamas, while Aldo, Mendes and Pulver are the only ones to have beaten him from his WEC days.
Choi definitely looks like he has the ability to compete with the elite in the division, but I’m not comfortable taking a relatively unproven prospect against a proven elite competitor like Swanson.
Play: Swanson 2.87
Tim Kennedy vs Kelvin Gastelum
This fight is almost too close to call in my eyes. Both of these guys, Gastelum especially, seem to always have close fights with whoever they compete against. I think this fight will be more of the same with this fight likely being decided by the judges. In these kind of spots where I truly believe the fight could go either way I like to favour the underdog.
Play: Gastelum 2.30
Check out our dedicated MMA betting page to learn about the various other bets you can make on each of these fights.