It’s the week of the last major of the golfing season with the PGA Championship heading to Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina. The course is long, so length will be a factor in my picks and like normal, the PGA Championship will be the easiest major of the season to go low at, so you need to look for guys who can score. The top players in the world are all seeming in pretty solid form coming into this tournament with Matsuyama coming off a huge win at the WGC-Bridgestone last week, Rory smashing drives and coming T4 at the Open and T5 at the WGC, and then of course Jordan Spieth winning The Open a few weeks back. Even Jason Day seems to be finding his form, while DJ is starting to find his game again after struggling slightly for a few weeks. I really think it’s going to be one of the top dogs who takes down the PGA Championship this week, but picking the correct golfer will be the challenge.
I have 3 picks for my outright winner for the PGA Champinoship below. As I mentioned above long hitters will have an advantage and you will need to be able to score consistently on this course to stay near the top of the leaderboard.
I’m using the odds from Bovada.lv for my picks.
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Hideki Matsuyama +1200 @ Bovada.lv
The thing with Hideki is that when he gets a win, he keeps winning. Some players get a win and then take the foot off the gas, but Hideki is a prime example of a guy who is so committed to the game and never satisfied that he will continue to push forward with tremendous focus. Matsuyama is only 25 years old, but he’s already in the discussion of best player on Tour who has yet to win a major. He was knocking on the door at the US Open, finishing in second place and also had a strong T14 showing at The Open a few weeks ago. Coming off his huge win at the WGC-Bridgestone last week I think his game is exactly where it needs to be to get the win this week. He has plenty of length, which is needed at this course, but he is also throwing darts with his approach shots and will have plenty of birdie opportunities this week. He’s my favourite play of the big name golfers this week.
Adam Scott +4000 @ Bovada.lv
Scott is a guy who has kind of flown under the radar this year because he’s been finishing around 20th in most of the tournaments he’s competed in. That said, his ball striking is as good as it has ever been and that will pay dividends into some of these longer par 4’s. Not to mention he does still hit driver out there a very solid distance. If Scott can somehow get the putter rolling hot this week then he has as good a shot as anyone to win this tournament and at 40/1 he’s just a great play in my opinion.
Bubba Watson +7500 @ Bovada.lv
If you’d told me I would be backing Bubba to win the PGA Championship a couple months ago I would have said you were crazy, but I actually like him at these odds. Bubba has the game that can attack this course and go low if he is playing his best. He’s shown that his game has turned the corner over the past month with some solid, if not remarkable, results in his last few tournaments. I think Bubba has figured it out and at this price I’m willing to take a stab for him to put together four solid rounds.
I do think it’s going to be a big name player who gets the job done this week. You need that high upside and the ability to perform under pressure at a tournament like this, which is why I’m targeting guys who have been there before and earned wins on the biggest stages.
The PGA Championship is often looked at as the weakest of the four majors, but this week the course layout is a lot of fun and it’s going to make for some very watchable television. I’m excited and hopefully one of these guys gets the W for a big cash. Good luck guys.