It’s the week of the last major of the golfing season with the PGA Championship heading to Bethpage Black Course in Long Island, New York. The course will be playing quite long at 7,436 yards and a par 70. The course played as a par 71 for the 2016 Barclays, but used a similar layout of 7,426 yards and a par 70 for the 2009 US Open, which was the last major played at the course. I think the course will benefit the long hitters this week.
I have 3 picks for my outright winner for the PGA Championship below. As I mentioned above I’m looking for decently long hitters who are playing well and can perform on difficult courses.
I’m using the odds from Bovada.lv for my picks.
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Brooks Koepka 11/1 @ Bovada.lv
Koepka has won 3 of the past 7 major tournaments and is the defending champion for the PGA Championship. He also continued to show his knack for playing his best golf at major tournaments with his second place finish at last months Masters.
I don’t think you can underestimate Koepka in these big tournaments any longer. He’s still playing with a chip on his shoulder and he knows how to find that next gear for majors.
He’s long off the tee and if he can hit the approach shots well I expect him to have plenty of birdie opportunities this week.
The results in recent majors is not a fluke for Koepka. At 11/1 I’m happy to take him this week.
Jon Rahm 20/1 @ Bovada.lv
Rahm is playing extremely well finishing in 12th or better in 10 of his past 11 tournaments. That’s a ridiculous stat and shows just how consistent Rahm has been this season. He’s coming off a win paired with Ryan Palmer at the Zurich Classic a couple weeks ago and I really think he’s on the verge of putting it all together to win a major.
Rahm can bomb it off the tee and at 24 years of age I think he’s got his emotions under control, which shows through in the fact he’s put himself in contention in nearly every tournaments he’s played in this year.
At 20/1 I think Rahm is a solid play. He’s going to win a major sooner rather than later and this week at Bethpage could be a good setup for him.J
Justin Rose 20/1 @ Bovada.lv
You can probably tell by now that I think it’s going to be an elite player that is going to win this week. The course is difficult and the length you need should eliminate some of the field.
Rose had an awful showing at the Masters, but he bounced back last week with a third place finish at the Wells Fargo. I fully expect Rose to put in a good showing at the PGA Championship this week. He’s easily one of the top 5 golfers in the world, but he doesn’t get the same respect from the bettors as guys like Rory, Dustin or Tiger.
I’ll take the double return and roll the dice with Rose over those other elite players this week. If he can find his groove he’s as good as anyone on Tour.
The PGA Championship is often looked at as the weakest of the four majors, but this week the course layout is a lot of fun and it’s going to make for some very watchable television. I’m excited and hopefully one of these guys gets the W for a big cash. Good luck guys.