The Preakness Stakes is in the books and once again we have a potential Triple Crown winner heading to the Belmont Stakes. This potential always makes for a much more exciting Belmont, with a lot more fan fare and media attention.
American Pharaoh completely dominated the field on a wet Pimlico Race Course last weekend, leading for much of the race. Check it out below, it was quite the domination:
Now, let’s check out the entire list of early odds. These odds were taken from Bovada on May 21st, 2015. To see the up to date odds visit Bovada.lv and click on ‘Horse Racing’ in the sidebar, followed by ‘Futures’.
- American Pharaoh 1/1
- Frosted 5/1
- Materiality 15/2
- Mubtaahij 14/1
- Carpe Diem 16/1
- Madefromlucky 22/1
- Divining Rod 25/1
- Keen Ice 25/1
- Tale of Verve 28/1
- Conquest Curlinate 33/1
- War Story 33/1
- Frammento 50/1
You may notice that both Firing Line and Dortmund, the two horses who were expected to challenge American Pharaoh the most in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes are not going to be competing at the Belmont Stakes race.
Even though history tells us that American Pharaoh won’t be able to get the job done, my gut tells me that this is the horse to do it. He won the Derby and the Preakness in two entirely different ways and although the Belmont Stakes is the longest race of all, it looked like he had a lot left in the tank during the final stretch of both of those races.
Frosted, who finished 4th at the Kentucky Derby and did not start the Preakness, is supposed to be his biggest threat, but the horse has only won 2 races in his career, instead finishing 2nd on 4 different occasions and in 4th place twice. I just don’t think Frosted is a horse that needs to win races, and I expect him to be content to finish behind American Pharaoh.
Materiality is probably the biggest threat in my opinion, but American Pharaoh should still have enough gas in the tank and enough natural ability to beat him and all the other horses in the field.
The length will allow American Pharaoh to recover if anything unfortunate happens early in the race and then his natural ability should take him to the finish line first.
I’m taking American Pharaoh 1/1 at Bovada.lv.